Tools

Well Cash Flow Simulator

Oil prices do not sit still, so a single cash-flow number is a guess. This runs 2,000 randomized 12-month price paths off today's market using the measured volatility of crude (35%/yr) and gas (70%/yr), then reports the band your annual cash flow lands in half the time.

Your package

StateSets severance tax (8.0%).Oil ratebbl/dGross wellhead oil production per day.Gas ratemcf/dGross wellhead gas production per day.Net revenue interest%Your share of revenue after royalty burden.Operating expense$/moAll-in monthly LOE for the package.Oil differential$/bblBasis to WTI — negative for a discount.Purchase price$Optional — drives yield and payback.

Starting WTI$65.00/bbl

Starting realized gas$2.75/mcf

At a flat price

Net of severance tax and operating expense, at your NRI.

Cash-on-cash / yr

21.5%

at $65.00 flat WTI

Net cash flow / month

$13,451

Net revenue / month: $29,838
Severance tax: -$2,387
Operating expense: -$14,000
Annual cash flow: $161,407
Cash-on-cash / yr: 21.5%
Simple payback: 4.6 yrs

Price-risk simulation

2,000 randomized 12-month paths. Production is held flat — only price moves.

Estimate only. Holds production flat with no decline, workover, or plugging reserve, and excludes ad valorem tax, gathering and marketing deductions, and the 2% transaction fee. A random walk on price is an illustration of spread, not a forecast.

Run it on a real package

Every listing in our marketplace carries this simulator pre-loaded with the seller's actual rates, NRI, and operating expense.

Browse listings